Minimizing nasty surprises with better informed decision-making in self-adaptive systems

Designers of self-adaptive systems often formulate adaptive design decisions, making unrealistic or myopic assumptions about the system's requirements and environment. The decisions taken during this formulation are crucial for satisfying requirements. In environments which are characterized by uncertainty and dynamism, deviation from these assumptions is the norm and may trigger 'surprises'. Our method allows designers to make explicit links between the possible emergence of surprises, risks and design trade-offs. The method can be used to explore the design decisions for self-adaptive systems and choose among decisions that better fulfil (or rather partially fulfil) non-functional requirements and address their trade-offs. The analysis can also provide designers with valuable input for refining the adaptation decisions to balance, for example, resilience (i.e. Satisfiability of non-functional requirements and their trade-offs) and stability (i.e. Minimizing the frequency of adaptation). The objective is to provide designers of self adaptive systems with a basis for multi-dimensional what-if analysis to revise and improve the understanding of the environment and its effect on non-functional requirements and thereafter decision-making. We have applied the method to a wireless sensor network for flood prediction. The application shows that the method gives rise to questions that were not explicitly asked before at design-time and assists designers in the process of risk-aware, what-if and trade-off analysis

Self-adaptive trade-off decision making for autoscaling cloud-based services

Elasticity in the cloud is often achieved by on-demand autoscaling. In such context, the goal is to optimize the Quality of Service (QoS) and cost objectives for the cloud-based services. However, the difficulty lies in the facts that these objectives, e.g., throughput and cost, can be naturally conflicted; and the QoS of cloud-based services often interfere due to the shared infrastructure in cloud. Consequently, dynamic and effective trade-off decision making of autoscaling in the cloud is necessary, yet challenging. In particular, it is even harder to achieve well-compromised trade-offs, where the decision largely improves the majority of the objectives; while causing relatively small degradations to others. In this paper, we present a self-adaptive decision making approach for autoscaling in the cloud. It is capable to adaptively produce autoscaling decisions that lead to well-compromised trade-offs without heavy human intervention. We leverage on ant colony inspired multi-objective optimization for searching and optimizing the trade-offs decisions, the result is then filtered by compromise-dominance, a mechanism that extracts the decisions with balanced improvements in the trade-offs. We experimentally compare our approach to four state-of-the-arts autoscaling approaches: rule, heuristic, randomized and multi-objective genetic algorithm based solutions. The results reveal the effectiveness of our approach over the others, including better quality of trade-offs and significantly smaller violation of the requirements

Online QoS Modeling in the Cloud: A Hybrid and Adaptive Multi-Learners Approach

Given the on-demand nature of cloud computing, managing cloud-based services requires accurate modeling for the correlation between their Quality of Service (QoS) and cloud configurations/resources. The resulted models need to cope with the dynamic fluctuation of QoS sensitivity and interference. However, existing QoS modeling in the cloud are limited in terms of both accuracy and applicability due to their static and semi- dynamic nature. In this paper, we present a fully dynamic multi- learners approach for automated and online QoS modeling in the cloud. We contribute to a hybrid learners solution, which improves accuracy while keeping model complexity adequate. To determine the inputs of QoS model at runtime, we partition the inputs space into two sub-spaces, each of which applies different symmetric uncertainty based selection techniques, and we then combine the sub-spaces results. The learners are also adaptive; they simultaneously allow several machine learning algorithms to model QoS function and dynamically select the best model for prediction on the fly. We experimentally evaluate our models using RUBiS benchmark and realistic FIFA 98 workload. The results show that our multi-learners approach is more accurate and effective in contrast to the other state-of-the-art approaches.Comment: In the proceeding of the 7th IEEE/ACM International Conference on Utility and Cloud Computing (UCC), London, UK, 201